Tuesday, July 12, 2011

ELECTION 2012

The Presidential Election of 2012 is just around the corner, and Challengers are lining up to de-seat Obama.  Obama's numbers are not good.


His support among Whites is nearly non-existent.  Over 60% of Whites say the country is on the Wrong Track.


However, almost 100% of blacks are sure to vote again for Obama.


In order to win re-election, Obama needs to get most of the other Minority votes to make up for his lack of support amongst Whites.


The Electorate is split along White GOP voters and Non-White Dem voters.


However, in order to win, Obama's GOP opponent must be a Real Stinker.  As it stands now, Sarah Palin, Ron Paul, Bachmann and others will easily beat Obama in 2012.


It would take a Real Stinker of a GOP Candidate to lose to Obama.  Someone like Mitt Romney, Jon Huntsman or Newt Gingrich.  


Even then, it would be close.  Obama is hugely unpopular outside of blacks who support him unreservedly.


It may require a "spoiler" candidate to ensure re-election of Obama. A Third Party candidate that can take GOP votes away from the GOP candidate.


Someone like Ross Perot, who elected Bill Clinton twice by taking Republican votes away from the GOP candidate.  But Who?


Without a Third Party Candidate, Obama could be Toast in 2012.  Congress is certain to be GOP-run after the Election.


Even a Stinker like RINO Romney might Still beat Obama in 2012.  Obama's only hope is for a Strong Third Party Candidate like Perot to enter the race and ensure his re-election.


After All, Ballot Fraud and Voter Intimidation will only go so far in American Politics.

2 comments:

  1. Trump seems to be gearing up. He looks a lot like a shill put up, first, to draw fire away from the b/c issue. He focused on it and, lo, produced it. Problem "solved." Trump trotted back to the stable.

    Second, to draw votes from the Republican.

    Trump talks "national interest" and acts the tough guy realist who can go toe to toe with our enemies. It smells. Something being choreographed here.

    He's had NO interest in elective office and his involvement in matters of public policy has been zero. Cf. Reagan's decades of honing his message. It's as if Jeff Foxworthy suddenly expressed an interest in a career as a chef or an insurance adjuster.

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